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Consumer Confidence and Home Prices

By Peter Radford on Tuesday, July 27th, 2010

Just a quick note on today’s news:
Consumer confidence continues to drop. The Conference Board report today has confidence at 50.4 in July, down from 54.3 in June and the lowest level since February. The standard explanation for this steady erosion is that unemployment weighs heavily on the minds of everyone. I put a slightly different… »

When Will The Fed Act?

By Peter Radford on Thursday, July 22nd, 2010

I see from today’s testimony before Congress, that Ben Bernanke promises the Fed ‘will act’ if the economy underperforms.
Ummm.
The economy is already underperforming.
So: when will the Fed… »

Austerity: A Primer. The Ideas Behind The Debate.

By Peter Radford on Thursday, July 22nd, 2010

In view of the ongoing, and fraught, discussion about austerity measures and their effect, I thought I would present the theories underlying the two sides of debate.
Basically we are going through a rehash of the Orthodox versus Keynes argument that has been an episodic moment… »


Jobs? What Jobs?

By Peter Radford on Thursday, July 22nd, 2010

Today’s report of a jump in claims for unemployment assistance – by 37,000 to a total of 464,000 – is both disappointing and salutary. Yet expected.
The declines of the past… »

The Austerity Debate Continues

By Peter Radford on Tuesday, July 20th, 2010

This morning’s Financial Times is a must read.
It contains an excellent point/counter-point about the austerity argument now raging. The pro-growth argument is spelled out by Brad DeLong, while the austerity… »

Wages: Deflation Early Warning?

By Peter Radford on Tuesday, July 20th, 2010

Just a quick note.
I received the Bureau of Labor Statistics press release on wages this morning and one thing jumped out at me: during the second quarter average [median] wages… »